May 7, 2008 – 9:48 p.m.
Democrats in Congress who haven’t yet declared their presidential preferences are still hanging back, studiously avoiding any suggestion that Sen.
Every Democrat in the House and Senate has an automatic delegate slot at the Democratic National Convention, which makes them swing voters in a close nomination battle.
After a bruising 14-point loss in North Carolina and a narrower-than-anticipated 2-point win in Indiana this week, Clinton trails Illinois Sen.
Obama was due on Capitol Hill Thursday for private meetings with congressional superdelegates. Clinton, D-N.Y., is pressing on with the race, with West Virginia, Oregon, Kentucky, Puerto Rico, Montana and South Dakota still to vote.
Her backers on the Hill aren’t abandoning Clinton, but they’re doing the math.
“I don’t know if the fat lady has sung yet, but she’s clearing her throat,” said Rep.
House Speaker
“My belief is the race should continue. People should have an opportunity to vote,” Pelosi said. “As long as a campaign is going on and candidates are in the race, there’s a chance.”
If Florida and Michigan delegations are not seated, it will take 2,025 delegates to win the nomination.
Neither Obama nor Clinton are on track to win enough pledged delegates to reach that sum. That means the winner will be put over the top by superdelegates, the elected officials and party leaders who are not bound to support any candidate.
Clinton currently holds a narrow lead among the nearly 800 superdelegates — 271 to 256 — but would need to win the vast majority of the remaining undeclared superdelegates, or convince some of Obama’s backers to flip.
In 1980, Sen.
Kennedy, a longtime Obama supporter, said Wednesday that the Illinois senator has the nomination “effectively sewed up” and “I don’t see any possibility of altering or changing that inevitable fact.”
“I think he’ll have a surge of support,” said North Dakota Sen.
Conrad said he believed superdelegates would clinch the nomination for Obama before the June 3 end of the primary calendar, even as many of his colleagues said they’re staying on the fence.
“I made a decision a year ago about staying neutral and I’m staying with it,” said Oregon Sen.
Still, undeclared superdelegates said they could feel the winds change.
“The landscape is very different today than it was yesterday,” said Rep.
Eleven Democratic senators said they, too, remained unwilling to commit to either presidential candidate.
Defense Appropriations Chairman
Another part of the Clinton camp, though, sounded more optimistic. “Within a week we have the next primaries, I think she’ll do very well there,” said Sen.
With Obama closing in on the nomination, Clinton backers in Congress grasped for hopeful analogies.
“I’m used to those last-minute passes that bounce off people’s helmets,” said Rep.
Hopeful as some Clinton supporters are, others are looking for her to provide better evidence that she can win.
“I always go with the guy who brung me. In this case, it’s a girl ... On the other hand, I don’t want to rip the party asunder,” said Sen.
— Alan K. Ota, Edward Epstein, Bart Jansen, Marie Horrigan, David Nather and Catharine Richert contributed to this story.


